NBA forecasting engine · 2025-26 → 2026-27

COURT VISION

Elo power ratings replayed through every game, turned into win probabilities, spreads and totals, and graded honestly on every result. No black box, no hindsight.
Status
● live
Games modelled
—
Moneyline accuracy
—
Probabilities, not certainties · a forecasting experiment, not betting advice
pulling live Summer League data…
the analysis desk is writing…

2026-27 preseason

No 2026-27 games have been played yet — this runs on priors, not results.
pricing the market…

Power ratings

Every team's Elo, rebuilt from all … games this season — margin-weighted and home-court adjusted. The engine's view of who is actually good, not just the standings.
replaying the season…

Upcoming predictions

Win probability, projected spread and total for every scheduled game the feed has ahead.
loading the slate…

Matchup lab

Pick any two teams. The model projects it live from current Elo and scoring form — the home team gets the court.
@

Track record

Every game the model graded, walk-forward and out-of-sample — no cherry-picking. With … games, this is a real sample, not a highlight reel.
Recent games, graded

Players

Live rosters straight from the feed. Pick a team.
COURT VISION · Elo replay → margin & total model → honest track record · data via ESPN public feeds
A forecasting experiment. Probabilities, not certainties. Not betting advice.